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Review Article| Volume 27, ISSUE 1, P1-15, February 2011

The Frailty Syndrome: Definition and Natural History

      Keywords

      Frailty is a common clinical syndrome in older adults, which carries an increased risk for poor health outcomes, including falls, incident disability, hospitalization, and mortality.
      • Bandeen-Roche K.
      • Xue Q.L.
      • Ferrucci L.
      • et al.
      Phenotype of frailty: characterization in the women’s health and aging studies.
      • Fried L.P.
      • Tangen C.M.
      • Walston J.
      • et al.
      Frailty in older adults: evidence for a phenotype.
      • Gill T.M.
      • Gahbauer E.A.
      • Allore H.G.
      • et al.
      Transitions between frailty states among community-living older persons.
      • Graham J.E.
      • Snih S.A.
      • Berges I.M.
      • et al.
      Frailty and 10-year mortality in community-living Mexican American older adults.
      • Ensrud K.E.
      • Ewing S.K.
      • Cawthon P.M.
      • et al.
      A comparison of frailty indexes for the prediction of falls, disability, fractures, and mortality in older men.
      Elucidating its cause and natural history is therefore critical for identifying high-risk subsets and new arenas for frailty prevention and treatment.
      In an attempt to standardize and operationalize the definition of frailty, Fried and colleagues
      • Fried L.P.
      • Tangen C.M.
      • Walston J.
      • et al.
      Frailty in older adults: evidence for a phenotype.
      proposed a clinical phenotype of frailty as a well-defined syndrome with biologic underpinnings. These investigators hypothesized that the clinical manifestations of frailty are related in a mutually exacerbating cycle of negative energy balance, sarcopenia, and diminished strength and tolerance for exertion. Building on this conceptual framework, preliminary evidence has now been obtained on the natural history of the clinical phenotype of frailty.
      • Gill T.M.
      • Gahbauer E.A.
      • Allore H.G.
      • et al.
      Transitions between frailty states among community-living older persons.
      • Xue Q.L.
      • Bandeen-Roche K.
      • Varadhan R.
      • et al.
      Initial manifestations of frailty criteria and the development of frailty phenotype in the Women’s Health and Aging Study II.
      This article reviews the current state of knowledge regarding the epidemiology of frailty by focusing on 6 specific areas: (1) clinical definitions of frailty, (2) evidence of frailty as a medical syndrome, (3) prevalence and incidence of frailty by age, gender, race, and ethnicity, (4) transitions between discrete frailty states, (5) natural history of manifestations of frailty criteria, and (6) behavior modifications as precursors to the development of clinical frailty.

      Definition of frailty

      Frailty is theoretically defined as a clinically recognizable state of increased vulnerability, resulting from aging-associated decline in reserve and function across multiple physiologic systems such that the ability to cope with everyday or acute stressors is compromised. In the absence of a gold standard, frailty has been operationally defined by Fried and colleagues
      • Fried L.P.
      • Tangen C.M.
      • Walston J.
      • et al.
      Frailty in older adults: evidence for a phenotype.
      as a condition meeting 3 of the 5 phenotypic criteria indicating compromised energetics, namely, low grip strength, low energy, slowed waking speed, low physical activity, and unintentional weight loss (Table 1). A prefrail stage, in which 1 or 2 criteria are present, identifies a subset at high risk of progressing to frailty. Various adaptations of the clinical phenotype described by Fried have emerged in the literature, which were often motivated by available measures in specific studies rather than meaningful conceptual differences.
      Table 1Comparison of the frailty-defining criteria defined by the Cardiovascular Health Study and the Women’s Health and Aging Studies
      CharacteristicsCardiovascular Health StudyWomen’s Health and Aging Studies
      Weight lossBaseline: lost >4.5 kg unintentionally in the last year

      Follow-up: ([weight in previous year − current weight]/[weight in previous year])≥0.05 and the loss was unintentional
      Baseline: either of the following:

      ([weight at age 60 y − weight at examination]/[weight at age 60 years])≥0.1

      BMI at examination<18.5

      Follow-up: either of the following:

      BMI at examination<18.5

      ([weight in previous year − current weight]/[weight in previous year])≥0.05 and the loss was unintentional
      ExhaustionSelf-report of either

      Feeling that everything the person did was an effort in the last week

      Inability to get going in the last week
      Self-report of any of the following:

      Low usual energy level
      Rated on 0–10 scale, where 0 indicated “no energy” and 10 indicated “the most energy that you have ever had.”
      (≤3, range 0–10)

      Felt unusually tired in the past month
      If yes, there followed the question, “How much of the time?” the feeling persisted; responses “Most” or “All” of the time were considered indicative of exhaustion.


      Felt unusually weak in the past month
      If yes, there followed the question, “How much of the time?” the feeling persisted; responses “Most” or “All” of the time were considered indicative of exhaustion.
      Low physical activityWomen: energy<270 kcal on activity scale (18 items)

      Men: energy<383 kcal on activity scale (18 items)
      Women: energy<90 kcal on activity scale (6 items)

      Men: energy<128 kcal on activity scale (6 items)
      SlownessObserved when walking 4.57 m at usual pace

      Women

       Time≥7 s for height≤159 cm

       Time≥6 s for height>159 cm

      Men

       Time≥7 s for height≤173 cm

       Time≥6 s for height>173 cm
      Observed when walking 4 m at usual pace

      Women

       Speed≤4.57/7 m/s for height≤159 cm

       Speed≤4.57/6 m/s for height>159 cm

      Men

       Speed≤4.57/7 m/s for height≤173 cm

       Speed≤4.57/6 m/s for height>173 cm
      WeaknessGrip strength

      Women

       ≤17 kg for BMI≤23

       ≤17.3 kg for BMI 23.1–26

       ≤18 kg for BMI 26.1–29

       ≤21 kg for BMI>29

      Men

       ≤29 kg for BMI≤24

       ≤30 kg for BMI 24.1–26

       ≤30 kg for BMI 26.1–28

       ≤32 kg for BMI>28
      Grip strength: same as in CHS
      BMI: Body mass index; calculated as the weight in kilograms divided by the height in meters squared.
      a Rated on 0–10 scale, where 0 indicated “no energy” and 10 indicated “the most energy that you have ever had.”
      b If yes, there followed the question, “How much of the time?” the feeling persisted; responses “Most” or “All” of the time were considered indicative of exhaustion.
      Alternatively, frailty has been operationalized as a risk index by counting the number of deficits accumulated over time, termed frailty index (FI), including disability, diseases, physical and cognitive impairments, psychosocial risk factors, and geriatric syndromes (eg, falls, delirium, and urinary incontinence).
      • Mitnitski A.B.
      • Mogilner A.J.
      • Rockwood K.
      Accumulation of deficits as a proxy measure of aging.
      Compared with the Fried frailty phenotype, the FI is a more sensitive predictor of adverse health outcomes because of its finer graded risk scale and its robustness in clinical inferences with regard to the number and actual composition of the items in it.
      • Rockwood K.
      • Andrew M.
      • Mitnitski A.
      A comparison of two approaches to measuring frailty in elderly people.
      However, the discussion of the epidemiology of frailty in this article focuses on the Fried definition of frailty phenotype for several reasons. First, there is increasing consensus that frailty is a definable clinical state involving multiple signs and symptoms. Second, the clinical manifestations of frailty, in theory, may be organized into a self-perpetuating cycle of naturally progressing events (Fig. 1) consistent with clinical observations.
      • Fried L.P.
      • Tangen C.M.
      • Walston J.
      • et al.
      Frailty in older adults: evidence for a phenotype.
      • Fried L.P.
      • Walston J.
      • Hazzard W.R.
      • et al.
      Frailty and failure to thrive. Principles of geriatric medicine and gerontology.
      Third, converging lines of evidence suggest that these manifestations exhibit associations
      • Tseng B.S.
      • Marsh D.R.
      • Hamilton M.T.
      • et al.
      Strength and aerobic training attenuate muscle wasting and improve resistance to the development of disability with aging.
      • Evans W.J.
      Exercise, nutrition, and aging.
      • Fleg J.L.
      • Lakatta E.G.
      Role of muscle loss in the age-associated reduction in VO2 max.
      • Buchner D.M.
      • Larson E.B.
      • Wagner E.H.
      • et al.
      Evidence for a non-linear relationship between leg strength and gait speed.
      • Leibel R.L.
      Changes in energy expenditure resulting from altered body-weight.
      • Morley J.E.
      Anorexia of aging: physiologic and pathologic.
      that are consistent with a syndromal presentation.
      • Bandeen-Roche K.
      • Xue Q.L.
      • Ferrucci L.
      • et al.
      Phenotype of frailty: characterization in the women’s health and aging studies.
      Fourth, all the 3 reasons mentioned earlier provides a priori theoretical framework that facilitates the investigation of mechanisms underlying the development of frailty.
      • Fried L.P.
      • Hadley E.C.
      • Walston J.
      • et al.
      From bedside to bench: research agenda for frailty.
      Last, it could be argued that the 5-component phenotype is more appealing for use in a clinical setting than the FI that typically contains 30 to 70 items.
      Figure thumbnail gr1
      Fig. 1Cycle of frailty.
      (Xue QL, Bandeen-Roche K, Varadhan R, et al. Initial manifestations of frailty criteria and the development of frailty phenotype in the Women's Health and Aging Study II. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 2008;63(9):984–90, by permission of the Gerontological Society of America.)

      Natural history of manifestations of frailty criteria

      Understanding the points of onset of frailty is vital to early identification of at-risk individuals and intervention on those components that are first affected, when reversal may be most possible. Preclinical detection of early manifestations leading to the frailty syndrome requires an understanding of the natural history of frailty development. The author suggests 2 potential hypotheses as to the natural history of frailty initiation and progression. The author hypothesized that the cycle of frailty could be initiated via any of the clinical manifestations, which could then precipitate a vicious cycle culminating in an aggregate syndrome; and different initial manifestations may lead to differential rates of progression to frailty. Based on a 7.5-year longitudinal study of 420 participants of the Women’s Health and Aging Studies (WHAS) II who were defined as nonfrail using the Fried definition of frailty phenotype at baseline, the author found initial evidence of a partially hierarchical order in the onset of frailty manifestations over time.
      • Xue Q.L.
      • Bandeen-Roche K.
      • Varadhan R.
      • et al.
      Initial manifestations of frailty criteria and the development of frailty phenotype in the Women’s Health and Aging Study II.
      Although there was notable heterogeneity in the initial manifestations of frailty, weakness was the most common first manifestation, and occurrence of weakness, slowness, and low physical activity preceded exhaustion and weight loss in 76% of the women who were nonfrail at baseline.
      The fact that weakness should presage frailty onset is consistent with earlier reports that suggest that loss of muscle strength begins in midlife.
      • Nair K.S.
      Muscle protein-turnover: methodological issues and the effect of aging.
      • Viitasalo J.T.
      • Era P.
      • Leskinen A.L.
      • et al.
      Muscular strength profiles and anthropometry in random samples of men aged 31–35, 51–55 and 71–75 years.
      • Lindle R.S.
      • Metter E.J.
      • Lynch N.A.
      • et al.
      Age and gender comparisons of muscle strength in 654 women and men aged 20–93 yr.
      The decline in muscle strength has been attributed to the loss of muscle mass and muscle quality, which is referred to as sarcopenia, resulting from anatomic and biochemical changes in the aging muscle.
      • Kamel H.K.
      Sarcopenia and aging.
      The causal mechanisms underlying sarcopenia are many, including oxidative stress, dysregulation of inflammatory cytokines and hormones, malnutrition, physical inactivity, and muscle apoptosis,
      • Marcell T.J.
      Sarcopenia: causes, consequences, and preventions.
      • Dirks A.J.
      • Hofer T.
      • Marzetti E.
      • et al.
      Mitochondrial DNA mutations, energy metabolism and apoptosis in aging muscle.
      all of which have been hypothesized to contribute to frailty through interactive pathways at multiple temporal and spatial scales.
      • Fried L.P.
      • Hadley E.C.
      • Walston J.
      • et al.
      From bedside to bench: research agenda for frailty.
      The finding of heterogeneity in initial criteria is consistent with the hypothesis that the cycle of frailty may be initiated by insults at many points in a hypothesized cycle of dysregulated energetics.
      • Fried L.P.
      • Tangen C.M.
      • Walston J.
      • et al.
      Frailty in older adults: evidence for a phenotype.
      • Fried L.P.
      • Walston J.
      • Hazzard W.R.
      • et al.
      Frailty and failure to thrive. Principles of geriatric medicine and gerontology.
      It was not the number of early manifestations (ie, 1 or 2) but the specific manifestations initially present that distinguished the risk and rate of onset of frailty. Specifically, women with exhaustion or weight loss as initial presenting symptoms were 3 to 5 times more likely to become frail than were women without any criterion, after adjusting for baseline age, race, education, and comorbidity. Weakness was moderately predictive of frailty onset (hazard ratio = 2.6). Neither slow walking speed nor low activity at baseline was significantly associated with incident frailty. It remains to be determined whether the different patterns of initial accumulation of frailty criteria represent different causative pathways with different rates of progression to frailty, either organ-specific or representing systemic physiologic dysregulations of aging. Alternatively, certain criterion measures may be more sensitive than others to changes associated with normal aging, for instance, performance-based criteria as opposed to self-reported criteria.
      Despite heterogeneous entry points into the cycle of frailty, 80% of transitions to frailty involved adding exhaustion and/or weight loss. This finding raises the possibility that decreased energy production or increased use, as in wasting conditions, may be involved in the threshold transition in a final common pathway toward frailty. Weight loss and exhaustion rarely developed alone, but rather co-occurred with other manifestations. This co-occurrence is consistent with the reliability theory,
      • Lloyd D.K.
      • Lipow M.
      Reliability: management, methods, and mathematics.
      whereby an emergent aggregation of multiple frailty manifestations result from the depletion of system redundancy or compensatory mechanisms, such that any new deficit leads to the failure of the whole organism.
      • Gavrilov L.A.
      • Gavrilova N.S.
      The reliability theory of aging and longevity.
      • Bortz W.M.
      A conceptual framework of frailty: a review.
      • Amaral L.A.
      • Diaz-Guilera A.
      • Moreira A.A.
      • et al.
      Emergence of complex dynamics in a simple model of signaling networks.
      • Kitano H.
      Systems biology: a brief overview.
      Then, early detection of subclinical changes or deficits at the molecular, cellular, and/or physiologic level is key to preventing or delaying the development of frailty.
      The clinical utility of these findings lies in the fact that weakness was the most common initial manifestation of the frailty phenotype. It evidenced only moderate predictive validity for incident frailty. However, according to the author’s conceptualization, the development of frailty is progressive and multisystemic and any 1 specific criterion alone, especially at an early stage in the process as in the case of weakness, may be neither sufficient nor specific for frailty prediction. Given that the criteria defining thresholds for grip strength are known to be associated with a greater risk of adverse outcomes, including disability and mortality,
      • Rantanen T.
      • Volpato S.
      • Ferrucci L.
      • et al.
      Handgrip strength and cause-specific and total mortality in older disabled women: exploring the mechanism.
      weakness may nevertheless be a clinically meaningful indicator of increasing vulnerability at a relatively early stage of the frailty process, when preventive intervention could be easiest to implement and theoretically most effective. Although the subsequent or concurrent onset of weight loss or exhaustion with the other criteria may better predict frailty onset, by the time someone experiences weight loss or exhaustion, it may be too late to implement frailty interventions. Therefore, consideration should be given to the possible trade-off between risk prediction and potential for benefits in deciding the proper timing and targets of interventions.

      Evidence of frailty as a medical syndrome

      A medical syndrome is “a group of signs and symptoms that occur together and characterize a particular abnormality.” To formally evaluate the degree to which the frailty phenotype conforms to the definition of a medical syndrome, Bandeen-Roche and colleagues
      • Bandeen-Roche K.
      • Xue Q.L.
      • Ferrucci L.
      • et al.
      Phenotype of frailty: characterization in the women’s health and aging studies.
      analyzed patterns of co-occurrence of the 5 frailty-defining criteria based on data from a combined sample of women aged 70 to 79 years from the WHAS I and WHAS II. Patterns of criteria co-occurrence that would support the syndrome definition are “(1) manifestation in a critical mass and (2) aggregation in a hierarchical order, as would occur in a cycle in which dysregulation in a sentinel system may trigger a cascade of alterations across other systems.”
      • Bandeen-Roche K.
      • Xue Q.L.
      • Ferrucci L.
      • et al.
      Phenotype of frailty: characterization in the women’s health and aging studies.
      Propensity for criteria to co-occur in distinct subgroups would suggest the effects of distinct biologic processes rather than a syndrome. Using latent class analysis,
      • Goodman L.A.
      Exploratory latent structure analysis using both identifiable and unidentifiable models.
      3 population subsets (also termed classes) with similar profiles of frailty criteria co-occurrence were identified; each criterion’s prevalence increased progressively across the population subsets, indicating increase in frailty severity. These findings supported the internal validity of the frailty criteria vis-à-vis the stated theory characterizing frailty as a medical syndrome and provided justification to the current counting strategy for defining frailty categories (ie, nonfrail, prefrail, and frail).

      Prevalence and incidence of frailty

      Based on the frailty criteria developed in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS), the overall prevalence of frailty in community-dwelling older adults aged 65 years or older in the United States ranges from 7% to 12%. In the CHS, prevalence of frailty increased with age from 3.9% in the age group of 65 to 74 years to 25% in the age group older than 85 years and was greater in women than in men (8% vs 5%).
      • Fried L.P.
      • Tangen C.M.
      • Walston J.
      • et al.
      Frailty in older adults: evidence for a phenotype.
      African Americans were more than twice as likely to be frail than Whites in the CHS (13% vs 6%) and the WHAS (16% vs 10%). The 1996 estimate for Mexican Americans from the Hispanic Established Populations for Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly was 7.8%, similar to those of Whites.
      • Graham J.E.
      • Snih S.A.
      • Berges I.M.
      • et al.
      Frailty and 10-year mortality in community-living Mexican American older adults.
      Similar age trends and gender differences have been reported for older adult populations in European and Latin American countries (Table 2). A recent survey of 7510 community-dwelling older adults in 10 European countries found that the prevalence of frailty ranged from 5.8% in Switzerland to 27% in Spain, with an overall prevalence of 17% and was higher in southern than in northern Europe, consistent with an unexplained north-south health risk gradient previously reported in the same population.
      • Santos-Eggimann B.
      • Cuenoud P.
      • Spagnoli J.
      • et al.
      Prevalence of frailty in middle-aged and older community-dwelling Europeans living in 10 countries.
      • Borsch-Supan A.
      • Brugiavini A.
      • Jurges H.
      • et al.
      First results from the survey of health, ageing and retirement in Europe.
      The geographic variation in frailty prevalence among these European countries persisted after adjusting for age and gender, which led the investigators to speculate that there may be differences in cultural characteristics, influencing the perception of health and/or interpretation of the frailty questions.
      • Santos-Eggimann B.
      • Cuenoud P.
      • Spagnoli J.
      • et al.
      Prevalence of frailty in middle-aged and older community-dwelling Europeans living in 10 countries.
      According to a survey of 7334 older adults who were 60 years or older living in 5 large Latin American and Caribbean cities, including Bridgetown, Barbados (n = 1446); Sao Paulo, Brazil (n = 1879); Santiago, Chile (n = 1220); Havana, Cuba (n = 1726); and Mexico City, Mexico (n =1063),prevalence of frailty varied from 30% to 48% in women and from 21% to 35% in men, which was much higher than their American and European counterparts.
      • Alvarado B.E.
      • Zunzunegui M.V.
      • Beland F.
      Life course social and health conditions linked to frailty in Latin American older men and women.
      Table 2Frailty prevalence and criteria in various countries
      SourceCountryNumber of PatientsFrailty PrevalenceFrailty Criteria
      Fried et al,
      • Fried L.P.
      • Tangen C.M.
      • Walston J.
      • et al.
      Frailty in older adults: evidence for a phenotype.
      2001
      United States5317AgeCHS criteria (see Table 1)
      65–74 y3.9%
       75–84 y11.6%
       Older than 85 y25.0%
      Sex
       Women8.2%
       Men5.2%
      Race
       White5.9%
       African American12.9%
      Bandeen-Roche et al,
      • Bandeen-Roche K.
      • Xue Q.L.
      • Ferrucci L.
      • et al.
      Phenotype of frailty: characterization in the women’s health and aging studies.
      2006
      United States786AgeWHAS criteria (see Table 1)
       70–79 y11.3%
      Race
       White9.8%
       African American15.8%
      Santos-Eggimann et al,
      • Santos-Eggimann B.
      • Cuenoud P.
      • Spagnoli J.
      • et al.
      Prevalence of frailty in middle-aged and older community-dwelling Europeans living in 10 countries.
      2009
      10 European countries:7510Older than 65 y17.0%Three or more of the following 5 criteria:

      Weight loss: self-report of a diminution in the desire for food in response to the question, “What has your appetite been like?”

      Exhaustion: responding “Yes” to the question, “In the last month, have you had too little energy to do things you wanted to do?”

      Weakness: same as in CHS

      Slowness: self-report of having either “Difficulty (expected to last more than 3 months) walking 100 m” or “Climbing one flight of stairs without resting” because of health reasons

      Low activity: responding “1 to 3 times a month” or “Hardly ever or never” to the question, “How often do you engage in activities that require a low or moderate level of energy, such as gardening, cleaning the car, or going for a walk?”
      Sweden8.6%
      Denmark12.4%
      Netherlands11.3%
      Germany12.1%
      Austria10.8%
      Switzerland5.8%
      France15.0%
      Italy23.0%
      Spain27.3%
      Greece14.7%
      Graham et al,
      • Graham J.E.
      • Snih S.A.
      • Berges I.M.
      • et al.
      Frailty and 10-year mortality in community-living Mexican American older adults.
      2009
      United States1996Older than 65 yThree or more of the following 5 criteria:

      Weight loss: unintentional weight loss of ≥4.5 kg in the last year

      Exhaustion: same as in CHS

      Weakness by grip strength:

       Weakest 20% for men:

      ≤21 kg for BMI≤24.2

      ≤24.5 kg for BMI 24.3–26.8

      ≤25.4 kg for BMI 26.9–29.5

      ≤25.5 kg for BMI>29.5

       Weakest 20% for women:

      ≤13.5 kg for BMI≤24.7

      ≤14.2 kg for BMI 24.8–28.3

      ≤15.0 kg for BMI 28.4–32.1

      ≤15.0 kg for BMI>32.1

      Slowness by 4.9-m–timed walk at fast pace

       Slowest 20% for men:

      ≥11.2 s for height ≤168 cm

      ≥9.7 s for height >168 cm

       Slowest 20% for women:

      ≥12.0 s for height ≤154 cm

      ≥11.2 s for height >154 cm

      Low activity: lowest 20th percentile on the basis of gender on the Physical Activity Scale for the Elderly

       Lowest 20% for men: ≤3047

       Lowest 20% for women: ≤27.5
      • Washburn RA.
      • Smith KW.
      • Jette AM.
      • et al.
      The Physical Activity Scale for the Elderly (PASE): development and evaluation.
      Race
      Mexican American7.8%
      Alvarado et al,
      • Alvarado B.E.
      • Zunzunegui M.V.
      • Beland F.
      Life course social and health conditions linked to frailty in Latin American older men and women.
      2008
      Older than 60 yThree or more of the following 5 criteria:

      Weight loss: self-report of loss of >4.5 kg unintentionally during the previous 3 months

      Exhaustion: responding “No” to the question, “Do you have lots of energy?” and/or responding “Yes” to the question, “Have your dropped many of your activities or interests?”

      Weakness: same as in CHS

      Slowness: self-report of difficulty in walking 100 yd and/or in climbing one flight of stairs

      Low activity: responding, “No” to the question, “In the last 12 mo, have your exercised regularly or participated in vigorous physical activity, such as playing a sport, dancing, or doing heavy housework, 3 or more times a week?”
      Barbados1446Women30.0%
      Men21.5%
      Cuba1726Women46.7%
      Men26.2%
      Mexico1063Women45.5%
      Men30.4%
      Chile1220Women48.2%
      Men31.7%
      Brazil1879Women44.1%
      Men35.4%
      Avila-Funes et al,
      • Avila-Funes J.A.
      • Amieva H.
      • Barberger-Gateau P.
      • et al.
      Cognitive impairment improves the predictive validity of the phenotype of frailty for adverse health outcomes: the three-city study.
      2009
      France6030Older than 65 y7.0%Three or more of the following 5 criteria:

      Weight loss: self-report of recent loss of ≥3 kg unintentionally or BMI <21 kg/m2

      Exhaustion: same as in CHS

      Weakness: responding “Yes” to the question, “Do you have difficulty rising from a chair?”

      Slowness: gender- and height-adjusted lowest quantile on a timed 6-m walking test at usual pace

      Low activity: denied doing daily leisure activities, such as walking or gardening or participating in athletic activity at least once a week
      BMI: Body mass index; calculated as the weight in kilograms divided by the height in meters squared.

      Frailty transitions

      Epidemiologic data on transitions between frailty states (ie, nonfrail, prefrail, frail) were first reported by Gill and colleagues
      • Gill T.M.
      • Gahbauer E.A.
      • Allore H.G.
      • et al.
      Transitions between frailty states among community-living older persons.
      in a 4.5-year longitudinal study of 754 community-living older adults who were 70 years or older. Of the 754 participants, 58% had at least 1 transition between any 2 of the 3 frailty states at one of the 3 follow-up visits 18-months apart during the study; 37%, 22%, and 9% of the participants had 1, 2, and 3 transitions. About one-third (35%) of all 18-month transitions were from states of greater frailty to states of less frailty (calculated based on data in Table 3 of Gill and colleagues
      • Gill T.M.
      • Gahbauer E.A.
      • Allore H.G.
      • et al.
      Transitions between frailty states among community-living older persons.
      ). However, the likelihood of transitioning from being frail to nonfrail was extremely rare during each of the 18-month intervals.
      Table 3Numbers and rates of transitions according to follow-up interval
      NumberRate (%)NumberRate (%)NumberRate (%)NumberRate (%)
      TransitionBaseline to 18 mo18–36 mo36–72 mo72–90 mo
      Nonfrail toN = 244N = 222N = 147N = 129
       Nonfrail17973.413259.59363.36651.2
       Prefrail6125.08638.74027.25845.0
       Frail31.241.864.121.6
       Death10.40085.432.3
      Prefrail toN = 137N = 130N = 161N = 130
       Nonfrail4835.02620.03622.42216.9
       Prefrail7554.78968.59257.18565.4
       Frail96.6118.5159.31511.5
       Death53.743.11811.286.2
      Frail toN = 12N = 13N = 14N = 28
       Nonfrail216.710.8214.300
       Prefrail758.31076.9535.71035.7
       Frail216.7215.4750.01346.4
       Death18.30000517.9
      In WHAS II, frailty status of 405 women representing two-thirds of least-disabled community-dwelling women aged 70 to 79 years was repeatedly assessed at baseline and at least one of the 4 follow-up visits spanning 7.5 years (approximately 18 months apart except for the interval between the third and the fourth examination, which was, on average, 3 years). Of the 405 women, 72% had at least 1 transition between frailty states over 7.5 years; 37%, 24%, 16%, and 2% had 1, 2, 3, and 4 transitions. Consistent with the finding of Gill and colleagues,
      • Gill T.M.
      • Gahbauer E.A.
      • Allore H.G.
      • et al.
      Transitions between frailty states among community-living older persons.
      most of the transitions occurred between adjacent frailty status; one-third (34%) of all 18-month transitions were from states of greater frailty to states of less frailty. In WHAS II, the rate of transition from frail to nonfrail was noticeably higher (17%) during the first 18 months than that of the previous study, which could be because of the small sample size of the frailty group (see Table 3). It was also found that two-thirds of the 24 (n = 15) women who were nonfrail at baseline and became frail during the course of the study did so slowly and progressively, whereas one-third (n = 9) had rapid onset of frailty without progressing through any identified prefrail stage. This observation suggests that the rate at which frailty progresses may vary dramatically among older adults, that is, more sudden and catastrophic in some people and slowly progressive among others. Similar findings have been reported by Gill and colleagues
      • Gill T.M.
      • Gahbauer E.A.
      • Allore H.G.
      • et al.
      Transitions between frailty states among community-living older persons.
      and for severe mobility disability, with the rate of progression depending on the level of comorbidity as well as specific disease types.
      • Guralnik J.M.
      • Ferrucci L.
      • Balfour J.L.
      • et al.
      Progressive versus catastrophic loss of the ability to walk: implications for the prevention of mobility loss.
      Owing to low frailty incidence, the author had limited power in detecting factors differentiating the pace of frailty development.
      Because some misconstrue frailty as a premorbid state defining the end of life, the findings reported earlier suggest that frailty is not an irreversible process, certainly not an inevitable trajectory to death. Therefore, the development and evaluation of interventions designed to prevent or ameliorate frailty should remain as one of the top priorities in frailty research.

      Behavioral precursors to the development of frailty

      An overt state of frailty is believed to be preceded by behavioral adaptation made in response to declining physiologic reserve and capacity with which to meet environmental challenges. The causes of this loss of physiologic reserve are likely to be multifactorial, including both environmental challenges (eg, area deprivation) and intraindividual challenges (eg, age-related physiologic changes). Observations of early behavioral changes during this preclinical phase in older adults in whom frailty is developing, but as yet undetected, could provide insight into the frailty development process and suggest means for early intervention. More importantly, such changes may not be captured by conventional measures of function such as fixed-distance or fixed-time walking tests for mobility function, which assess one’s functional capacity under hypothetical or experimental conditions rather than enacted function in the real world.
      • Glass T.A.
      Conjugating the “tenses” of function: discordance among hypothetical, experimental, and enacted function in older adults.
      Therefore, assessment of the changes in real life may reflect the net impact of declining reserve, taking into account the balance between internal physiologic capacity and external challenges older adults experience in daily life.
      One example of such a behavioral precursor is life space, a measure of spatial mobility, defined as the size of the spatial area people purposely move through in their daily life as well as the frequency of travel within a specific time frame.
      • Baker P.S.
      • Bodner E.V.
      • Allman R.M.
      Measuring life-space mobility in community-dwelling older adults.
      • May D.
      • Nayak U.S.
      • Isaacs B.
      The life-space diary: a measure of mobility in old people at home.
      The author analyzed the 3-year cumulative incidence of frailty using the WHAS phenotype in relation to baseline life-space constriction among 599 community-dwelling women who were 65 years or older and not frail at baseline. Frailty-free mortality (ie, death before the observation of frailty) was treated as a competing risk. Multivariate survival models showed that when compared with women who left the neighborhood 4 or more times per week, those who left the neighborhood less frequently were 1.7 times (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1–2.4; P<.05) more likely to become frail, and those who never left their homes experienced a 3-fold increase in frailty-free mortality (95% CI, 1.4–7.7; P<.01), after adjustment for chronic disease, physical disability, and psychosocial factors.
      • Xue Q.L.
      • Fried L.P.
      • Glass T.A.
      • et al.
      Life-space constriction, development of frailty, and the competing risk of mortality: the Women’s Health and Aging Study I.
      It is particularly intriguing to find that difficulty with mobility, instrumental activities of daily living, and activities of daily living alone did not necessarily lead to a reduction in life space. In fact, 97% of the participants in the study cohort had already reported mobility disability at baseline. Such discordance between functional capacity and actual performance has been reported in several other studies.
      • Glass T.A.
      Conjugating the “tenses” of function: discordance among hypothetical, experimental, and enacted function in older adults.
      • Jette A.M.
      How measurement techniques influence estimates of disability in older populations.
      • Cambois E.
      • Robine J.M.
      • Romieu I.
      The influence of functional limitations and various demographic factors on self-reported activity restriction at older ages.
      To explain the discrepancy, one could argue that some people may compensate for underlying functional decrements by adapting to a modified daily routine (eg, the use of assistive devices) to maintain the same level of performance in real life (ie, enacted function).
      • Fried L.P.
      • Bandeen-Roche K.
      • Chaves P.H.M.
      • et al.
      Preclinical mobility disability predicts incident mobility disability in older women.
      Although the exact reasons for this discrepancy remain unknown, the author hypothesizes that the employment of external (eg, social support) and internal (eg, using a cane) compensatory strategies (termed environmental supports and intraindividual supports, respectively, in Fig. 2) may help to minimize the impact of the loss of physiologic reserve and thereby preserve life-space mobility. On the other hand, the ability to compensate effectively for functional limitations may itself be a function of physiologic reserve. It may be the interplay of functional limitations and functional reserve, which determines actual function and behavior.
      Figure thumbnail gr2
      Fig. 2Theoretical model of the association of life space with the clinical syndrome of frailty. Solid and dashed lines represent direct and indirect effects, respectively; arrows represent causal direction.
      (Xue QL, Fried LP, Glass TA, et al. Life-space constriction, development of frailty, and the competing risk of mortality: the Women's Health And Aging Study I. Am J Epidemiol 2008;167(2):240–8, by permission of Oxford University Press.)
      Obtaining empirical evidence of this association is the critical first step toward evaluating a broad conceptual framework about the cause of frailty (see Fig. 2). In the case of life space, it is theorized that constriction of life space is a marker of declines in physiologic reserve and that constriction of life space itself could lead to decreased physical activity and social engagement, accelerated deconditioning, and exacerbated decline in physiologic reserve, directly contributing, as these processes progress, to the development of clinical frailty and subsequent mortality. Future development of tools for the assessment of physiologic reserve and analysis of their relations to behavioral maladaptations could help in delineating the hypothesized causal pathway.

      Summary

      The recent work on the natural history of frailty has advanced the understanding of the aging process and its potential physiologic correlates. The ongoing debate on the operational definition of frailty, its subdomains (eg, physical vs cognitive), and its relationship with aging, disability, and chronic diseases
      • Fried L.P.
      • Ferrucci L.
      • Darer J.
      • et al.
      Untangling the concepts of disability, frailty, and comorbidity: implications for improved targeting and care.
      • Hogan D.B.
      • MacKnight C.
      • Bergman H.
      Models, definitions, and criteria of frailty.
      • Bergman H.
      • Ferrucci L.
      • Guralnik J.
      • et al.
      Frailty: an emerging research and clinical paradigm–issues and controversies.
      • Avila-Funes J.A.
      • Amieva H.
      • Barberger-Gateau P.
      • et al.
      Cognitive impairment improves the predictive validity of the phenotype of frailty for adverse health outcomes: the three-city study.
      • Sarkisian C.A.
      • Gruenewald T.L.
      • John Boscardin W.
      • et al.
      Preliminary evidence for subdimensions of geriatric frailty: the MacArthur study of successful aging.
      signals that more work is necessary to better define and quantify reserve and resilience, the hallmarks of frailty.
      • Fried L.P.
      • Hadley E.C.
      • Walston J.
      • et al.
      From bedside to bench: research agenda for frailty.
      • Varadhan R.
      • Seplaki C.L.
      • Xue Q.L.
      • et al.
      Stimulus-response paradigm for characterizing the loss of resilience in homeostatic regulation associated with frailty.
      Despite this debate, researchers and clinicians have no disagreement on the severe impact of frailty on older adults, their caregivers, and on society as a whole. Although specific treatments for frailty are yet to be developed and tested, the existing clinical measures of frailty provide useful means for identifying high-risk individuals and, therefore, could lead to improved treatment, decision making, and management of care by taking into account individual vulnerabilities and propensity for adverse health outcomes.

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